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2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)

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EventKALSHI

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
Yes

96%

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Vol

$34.76K

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Markets

9

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9 markets tracked

Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 2 percentage points?

kalshi

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All Markets(9)
MarketPrice
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 2 percentage points?
96%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 4 percentage points?
92%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 6 percentage points?
86%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 8 percentage points?
65%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 10 percentage points?
41%

Markets (9)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 2 percentage points?

Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 2 percentage points?

If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 2 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percen

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome95.5%
Yes
Volume$2.55K
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 4 percentage points?

Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 4 percentage points?

If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 4 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percen

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome92.0%
Yes
Volume$2.01K
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 6 percentage points?

Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 6 percentage points?

If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percen

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome85.5%
Yes
Volume$7.70K
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 8 percentage points?

Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 8 percentage points?

If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 8 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percen

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome65.0%
Yes
Volume$8.86K
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 10 percentage points?

Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 10 percentage points?

If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 10 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote perce

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome41.0%
Yes
Volume$9.81K
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 11 percentage points?

Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 11 percentage points?

If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 11 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote perce

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome24.0%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 12 percentage points?

Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 12 percentage points?

If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote perce

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome20.5%
Yes
Volume$2.92K
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 14 percentage points?

Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 14 percentage points?

If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 14 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote perce

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome3.0%
Yes
Volume$329.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 03, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 16 percentage points?

Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 16 percentage points?

If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 16 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote perce

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume$579.62
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 03, 2027
View Details

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