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Illinois pension debt in 2026?

96%
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EventKALSHI

Illinois pension debt in 2026?

Illinois pension debt in 2026?
Yes

96%

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7

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7 markets tracked

Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $140 billion?

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All Markets(7)
MarketPrice
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $140 billion?
96%
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $145 billion?
78%
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $150 billion?
11%
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $155 billion?
7%
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $160 billion?
6%

Markets (7)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $140 billion?

Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $140 billion?

If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is above $140 billion, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the comb

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome96.0%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 08, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $145 billion?

Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $145 billion?

If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is above $145 billion, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the comb

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome77.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 08, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $150 billion?

Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $150 billion?

If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is above $150 billion, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the comb

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome11.0%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 08, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $155 billion?

Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $155 billion?

If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is above $155 billion, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the comb

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome6.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 08, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $160 billion?

Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $160 billion?

If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is above $160 billion, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the comb

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 08, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $165 billion?

Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $165 billion?

If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is above $165 billion, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the comb

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 08, 2026
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $170 billion?

Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $170 billion?

If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is above $170 billion, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the comb

Health Score25/100
Yes Outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume$0.00
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 08, 2026
View Details

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