What is the current price for "How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 68.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?"?

There are 8 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

Name: How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
Start: 2026-04-19T02:30:17.677Z
End: 2026-05-19T02:30:17.677Z

Market Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will more than 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

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All Markets(8)

Market	Price
Will more than 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?	32%
Will exactly 5 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?	21%
Will exactly 3 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?	17%
Will exactly 4 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?	14%
Will exactly 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?	11%

Markets (8)

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Will more than 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is above 6, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are curr

Will exactly 5 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are cu

Will exactly 3 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is exactly 3, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are cu

Will exactly 4 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is exactly 4, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are cu

Will exactly 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is exactly 6, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are cu

Will exactly 2 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are cu

Will exactly 1 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are cu

Will exactly 0 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is exactly 0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are cu