What is the current price for "How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 96.2% probability.

How many markets are available for "How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?"?

There are 5 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

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How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

Yes59%

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

Name: How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
Start: 2026-07-10T10:00:39.794Z
End: 2026-08-09T10:00:39.794Z

Part of: How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

Before Nov 3, 2026 If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is X 6, then the market resolves to Yes. To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold, regardless of District, for a party they are currently in, as of primary day for the seat they're contesting in in 2026; be running for the nomination of a position whose election day is on the same date as most Congressional elections in 2026, typica

YesLeading Yes Probability

59%

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How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

Yes

59%

Vol

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Market Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will exactly 3 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

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All Markets(5)

Market	Price
Will exactly 3 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?	59%
Will exactly 4 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?	33%
Will exactly 5 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?	6%
Will more than 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?	4%
Will exactly 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?	4%

Markets (5)

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KALSHIPolitics

Will exactly 3 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is exactly 3, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are cu

Will exactly 4 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is exactly 4, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are cu

Will exactly 5 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are cu

Will more than 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is above 6, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are curr

Will exactly 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is exactly 6, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are cu