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Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
Before Nov 3, 2026 If the number of Republican House members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is X 6, then the market resolves to Yes. To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold, regardless of District, for a party they are currently in, as of primary day for the seat they're contesting in in 2026; be running for the nomination of a position whose election day is on the same date as most Congressional elections in 2026, typica
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
8 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
Will more than 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026? | Kalshi | 32% |
Will exactly 5 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026? | Kalshi | 21% |
Will exactly 3 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026? | Kalshi | 17% |
Will exactly 4 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026? | Kalshi | 14% |
Will exactly 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026? | Kalshi | 11% |
Will exactly 2 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026? | Kalshi | 3% |
Will exactly 1 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026? | Kalshi | 0% |
Will exactly 0 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026? | Kalshi | 0% |
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