What is the current price for "How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?"?

The leading outcome "Yes" is currently trading at 96.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?"?

There are 10 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $0K.

BackKKALSHI

How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?

Yes97%

Vol$66.00

Markets10

97%

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?

Name: How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?
Start: 2026-10-12T00:28:18.836Z
End: 2026-11-11T00:28:18.836Z

Part of: How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?

2026 elections If at least X members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election, by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot, but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members agains

YesLeading Yes Probability

97%

VolTotal Volume

$66.00

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?

Yes

97%

Vol

$66.00

Markets

Trade

Market Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will at least 9 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

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No data available

All Markets(10)

Market	Price
Will at least 9 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?	97%
Will at least 10 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?	89%
Will at least 11 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?	78%
Will at least 12 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?	63%
Will at least 13 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?	46%

Markets (10)

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KALSHIPolitics

Will at least 9 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

If at least 9 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elec

Will at least 10 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

If at least 10 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general ele

Will at least 11 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

If at least 11 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general ele

Will at least 12 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

If at least 12 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general ele

Will at least 13 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

If at least 13 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general ele

Will at least 14 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

If at least 14 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general ele

Will at least 15 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

If at least 15 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general ele

Will at least 16 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

If at least 16 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general ele

Will at least 17 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

If at least 17 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general ele

Will at least 18 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026?

If at least 18 members of the House Democrats lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general ele