What is the current price for "South Dakota Senate margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 81.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "South Dakota Senate margin of victory"?

There are 11 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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South Dakota Senate margin of victory

Yes82%

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82%

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South Dakota Senate margin of victory

Name: South Dakota Senate margin of victory
Start: 2026-07-10T08:27:41.468Z
End: 2026-08-09T08:27:41.468Z

Part of: South Dakota Senate margin of victory

On November 3, 2026 If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishe

YesLeading Yes Probability

82%

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South Dakota Senate margin of victory

Yes

82%

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11 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 15 percentage points?

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All Markets(11)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 15 percentage points?	82%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 17 percentage points?	76%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 19 percentage points?	69%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 21 percentage points?	63%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 23 percentage points?	56%

Markets (11)

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Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 15 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Rep

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 17 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Rep

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 19 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Rep

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 21 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Rep

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 23 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Rep

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 25 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Rep

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 27 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Rep

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 29 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota by 29 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Rep

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 31 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota by 31 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Rep

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 33 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota by 33 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Rep

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 35 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Rep

South Dakota Senate margin of victory

South Dakota Senate margin of victory

South Dakota Senate margin of victory

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 15 percentage points?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (11)

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 15 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 17 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 19 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 21 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 23 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 25 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 27 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 29 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 31 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 33 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in South Dakota be at least 35 percentage points?

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