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When will the first listed Republican announce a 2028 presidential run?

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EventKALSHI

When will the first listed Republican announce a 2028 presidential run?

When will the first listed Republican announce a 2028 presidential run?
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Vol

1.9K contracts

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Markets

7

Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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7 markets tracked

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Jan 1, 2028?

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All Markets(7)
MarketOutcome price
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Jan 1, 2028?
Yes 96.0%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Sep 1, 2027?
Yes 94.5%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Jun 1, 2027?
Yes 91.0%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Apr 1, 2027?
Yes 83.0%
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Mar 1, 2027?
Yes 71.5%

Event Overview

2028 Republican presidential nomination If at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination after Issuance and before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. X later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Republicans are the following 40 people, and no one else will be added: Greg Abbott, Steve Bannon, Jeff Bezos, Gregory Bovino, Katie Britt, Doug Burgum, Tucker Carlson, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, Ron DeSantis, Byron Donalds, Tulsi Gabbard, Matt Gaetz, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Nikki Haley, Josh Hawley, Pete Hegseth, Larry Hogan, Brian Kemp, John Kennedy, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Joe Kent, Erika Kirk, Jared Kushner, Thomas Massie, John McEntee, Rand Paul, Spencer Pratt, Vivek Ramaswamy, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Tim Scott, Elise Stefanik, John Thune, Donald J. Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, J.D. Vance and Glenn Youngkin. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications, from before Issuance, do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources, e.g., wire services, only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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Markets (7)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Jan 1, 2028?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Jan 1, 2028?

If at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Republicans are the following 40 people, and no one else will be added: Greg Abbott, Steve Bannon, Jeff Bezos, Gregory Bovino, Katie Britt, Doug Burgum, Tucker Carlson, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, Ron DeSantis, Byron Donalds, Tulsi Gabbard, Matt Gaetz, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Nikki Haley, Josh Hawley, Pete Hegseth, Larry Hogan, Brian Kemp, John Kennedy, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Joe Kent, Erika Kirk, Jared Kushner, Thomas Massie, John McEntee, Rand Paul, Spencer Pratt, Vivek Ramaswamy, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Tim Scott, Elise Stefanik, John Thune, Donald J. Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, J.D. Vance and Glenn Youngkin. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome96.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Sep 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Sep 1, 2027?

If at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Republicans are the following 40 people, and no one else will be added: Greg Abbott, Steve Bannon, Jeff Bezos, Gregory Bovino, Katie Britt, Doug Burgum, Tucker Carlson, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, Ron DeSantis, Byron Donalds, Tulsi Gabbard, Matt Gaetz, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Nikki Haley, Josh Hawley, Pete Hegseth, Larry Hogan, Brian Kemp, John Kennedy, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Joe Kent, Erika Kirk, Jared Kushner, Thomas Massie, John McEntee, Rand Paul, Spencer Pratt, Vivek Ramaswamy, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Tim Scott, Elise Stefanik, John Thune, Donald J. Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, J.D. Vance and Glenn Youngkin. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome94.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateSep 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Jun 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Jun 1, 2027?

If at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination after Issuance and before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Republicans are the following 40 people, and no one else will be added: Greg Abbott, Steve Bannon, Jeff Bezos, Gregory Bovino, Katie Britt, Doug Burgum, Tucker Carlson, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, Ron DeSantis, Byron Donalds, Tulsi Gabbard, Matt Gaetz, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Nikki Haley, Josh Hawley, Pete Hegseth, Larry Hogan, Brian Kemp, John Kennedy, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Joe Kent, Erika Kirk, Jared Kushner, Thomas Massie, John McEntee, Rand Paul, Spencer Pratt, Vivek Ramaswamy, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Tim Scott, Elise Stefanik, John Thune, Donald J. Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, J.D. Vance and Glenn Youngkin. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome91.0%
Yes
Volume0.96 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJun 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Apr 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Apr 1, 2027?

If at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Republicans are the following 40 people, and no one else will be added: Greg Abbott, Steve Bannon, Jeff Bezos, Gregory Bovino, Katie Britt, Doug Burgum, Tucker Carlson, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, Ron DeSantis, Byron Donalds, Tulsi Gabbard, Matt Gaetz, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Nikki Haley, Josh Hawley, Pete Hegseth, Larry Hogan, Brian Kemp, John Kennedy, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Joe Kent, Erika Kirk, Jared Kushner, Thomas Massie, John McEntee, Rand Paul, Spencer Pratt, Vivek Ramaswamy, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Tim Scott, Elise Stefanik, John Thune, Donald J. Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, J.D. Vance and Glenn Youngkin. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome83.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateApr 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Mar 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Mar 1, 2027?

If at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Republicans are the following 40 people, and no one else will be added: Greg Abbott, Steve Bannon, Jeff Bezos, Gregory Bovino, Katie Britt, Doug Burgum, Tucker Carlson, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, Ron DeSantis, Byron Donalds, Tulsi Gabbard, Matt Gaetz, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Nikki Haley, Josh Hawley, Pete Hegseth, Larry Hogan, Brian Kemp, John Kennedy, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Joe Kent, Erika Kirk, Jared Kushner, Thomas Massie, John McEntee, Rand Paul, Spencer Pratt, Vivek Ramaswamy, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Tim Scott, Elise Stefanik, John Thune, Donald J. Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, J.D. Vance and Glenn Youngkin. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome71.5%
Yes
Volume1.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Feb 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Feb 1, 2027?

If at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Republicans are the following 40 people, and no one else will be added: Greg Abbott, Steve Bannon, Jeff Bezos, Gregory Bovino, Katie Britt, Doug Burgum, Tucker Carlson, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, Ron DeSantis, Byron Donalds, Tulsi Gabbard, Matt Gaetz, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Nikki Haley, Josh Hawley, Pete Hegseth, Larry Hogan, Brian Kemp, John Kennedy, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Joe Kent, Erika Kirk, Jared Kushner, Thomas Massie, John McEntee, Rand Paul, Spencer Pratt, Vivek Ramaswamy, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Tim Scott, Elise Stefanik, John Thune, Donald J. Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, J.D. Vance and Glenn Youngkin. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome67.0%
Yes
Volume526 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Jan 1, 2027?

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Jan 1, 2027?

If at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Republicans are the following 40 people, and no one else will be added: Greg Abbott, Steve Bannon, Jeff Bezos, Gregory Bovino, Katie Britt, Doug Burgum, Tucker Carlson, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, Ron DeSantis, Byron Donalds, Tulsi Gabbard, Matt Gaetz, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Nikki Haley, Josh Hawley, Pete Hegseth, Larry Hogan, Brian Kemp, John Kennedy, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Joe Kent, Erika Kirk, Jared Kushner, Thomas Massie, John McEntee, Rand Paul, Spencer Pratt, Vivek Ramaswamy, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Tim Scott, Elise Stefanik, John Thune, Donald J. Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, J.D. Vance and Glenn Youngkin. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome27.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2027
View Details

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