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Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Apr 1, 2027?

Yes 83.0%

Vol0 contracts

SnapshotNov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 83.0%

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Event

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MarketKALSHIactivePolitics

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Apr 1, 2027?

Part of: When will the first listed Republican announce a 2028 presidential run?

YesYes Price

83.0¢

VolTotal Volume

0 contracts

Outcomes

Ends

Apr 8, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC

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Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Apr 1, 2027?

Yes

83.0¢

Vol

0 contracts

Outcomes

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Yes83.0¢

No17.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 83.0%. Snapshot Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination before Apr 1, 2027? · Yes

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Apr 8, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

If at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Republicans are the following 40 people, and no one else will be added: Greg Abbott, Steve Bannon, Jeff Bezos, Gregory Bovino, Katie Britt, Doug Burgum, Tucker Carlson, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, Ron DeSantis, Byron Donalds, Tulsi Gabbard, Matt Gaetz, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Nikki Haley, Josh Hawley, Pete Hegseth, Larry Hogan, Brian Kemp, John Kennedy, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Joe Kent, Erika Kirk, Jared Kushner, Thomas Massie, John McEntee, Rand Paul, Spencer Pratt, Vivek Ramaswamy, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Tim Scott, Elise Stefanik, John Thune, Donald J. Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, J.D. Vance and Glenn Youngkin. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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