
When will the first listed Republican announce a 2028 presidential run?
K 1.9K contracts
1
7
When will the first listed Republican announce a 2028 presidential run?

K 1.9K contracts
1
7
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Jan 1, 2028 at 96%.
Kalshi
- Before Jan 1, 202896%
- Before Sep 1, 202794.5%
- Before Jun 1, 202791%
- Before Apr 1, 202783%
- Before Mar 1, 202771.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 1.9K contracts
Reported volume ยท provider units
7
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
2028 Republican presidential nomination If at least one of the listed Republicans announced a run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination after Issuance and before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. Announcing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. X later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count. The listed Republicans are the following 40 people, and no one else will be added: Greg Abbott, Steve Bannon, Jeff Bezos, Gregory Bovino, Katie Britt, Doug Burgum, Tucker Carlson, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Ted Cruz, Ron DeSantis, Byron Donalds, Tulsi Gabbard, Matt Gaetz, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Nikki Haley, Josh Hawley, Pete Hegseth, Larry Hogan, Brian Kemp, John Kennedy, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Joe Kent, Erika Kirk, Jared Kushner, Thomas Massie, John McEntee, Rand Paul, Spencer Pratt, Vivek Ramaswamy, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Tim Scott, Elise Stefanik, John Thune, Donald J. Trump Jr., Ivanka Trump, J.D. Vance and Glenn Youngkin. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications, from before Issuance, do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources, e.g., wire services, only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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