What is the current price for "CA-40 Primary margin of victory?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 99.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "CA-40 Primary margin of victory?"?

There are 10 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "CA-40 Primary margin of victory?"?

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CA-40 Primary margin of victory?

Yes100%

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CA-40 Primary margin of victory?

Name: CA-40 Primary margin of victory?
Start: 2026-07-10T08:49:04.780Z
End: 2026-08-09T08:49:04.780Z

Part of: CA-40 Primary margin of victory?

On Jun 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within X to Y inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Young Kim minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Young Kim if Young Kim wins,

YesLeading Yes Probability

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CA-40 Primary margin of victory?

Yes

100%

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Market Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be above 12%?

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All Markets(10)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be above 12%?	100%
Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 9% and 12%?	2%
Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 6% and 9%?	1%
Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be above 12%?	1%
Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 3% and 6%?	1%

Markets (10)

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Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be above 12%?

If the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 9% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on t

Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 6% and 9%?

If the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the

Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be above 12%?

If the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on t

Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 3% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the

Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 9% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the

Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 0% and 3%?

If the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 6% and 9%?

If the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on th

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 3% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on th

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 0% and 3%?

If the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on th

CA-40 Primary margin of victory?

CA-40 Primary margin of victory?

CA-40 Primary margin of victory?

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be above 12%?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (10)

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be above 12%?

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 9% and 12%?

Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 6% and 9%?

Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be above 12%?

Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 3% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 9% and 12%?

Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 0% and 3%?

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 6% and 9%?

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 3% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 0% and 3%?

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