What is the current price for "Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 87.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?"?

There are 12 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?

Yes14%

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Single EventKALSHIElections

Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?

Name: Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?
Start: 2026-07-21T20:14:50.885Z
End: 2026-08-20T20:14:50.885Z

Part of: Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?

On Aug 11, 2026 If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within X to Y inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Hong minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Francesca Hong if Francesca Hong wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Francesca Hong loses. If Francesca Hong wi

YesLeading Yes Probability

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Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?

Yes

14%

Vol

$0.00

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Market Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?

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All Markets(12)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?	14%
Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?	14%
Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?	13%
Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 3% and 6%?	12%
Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be at least 15%?	11%

Markets (12)

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Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?

If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Hon

Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?

If the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Crowley

Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?

If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Hon

Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 3% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Hon

Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be at least 15%?

If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca

Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?

If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca H

Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 9% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Ho

Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?

If the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Crowley

Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 3% and 6%?

If the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Crowley

Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 9% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Crowley

Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be at least 15%?

If the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Crowl

Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?

If the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory is the vote share received by David Crowle

Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (12)

Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?

Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?

Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?

Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 3% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be at least 15%?

Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?

Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 9% and 12%?

Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?

Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 3% and 6%?

Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 9% and 12%?

Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be at least 15%?

Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?

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