What is the current price for "Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 97.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?"?

There are 12 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Yes16%

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Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Name: Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
Start: 2026-07-10T05:48:37.974Z
End: 2026-08-09T05:48:37.974Z

Part of: Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

On Sep 1, 2026 If the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within X to Y inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Seth Moulton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Seth Moulton if Seth Moulton

YesLeading Yes Probability

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Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Yes

16%

Vol

$0.00

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Market Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 8% and 12%?

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All Markets(12)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 8% and 12%?	16%
Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 12% and 16%?	15%
Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be above 20%?	14%
Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 16% and 20%?	14%
Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 4% and 8%?	12%

Markets (12)

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Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 8% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 8% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin

Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 12% and 16%?

If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 12% to 16%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margi

Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be above 20%?

If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the marg

Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 16% and 20%?

If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 16% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margi

Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 4% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 4% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin

Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the marg

Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 4%?

If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin

Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 4% and 8%?

If the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 4% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the marg

Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 8% and 12%?

If the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 8% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the mar

Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be above 20%?

If the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the m

Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 12% and 16%?

If the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 12% to 16%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the ma

Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 16% and 20%?

If the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 16% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the ma

Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 8% and 12%?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (12)

Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 8% and 12%?

Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 12% and 16%?

Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be above 20%?

Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 16% and 20%?

Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 4% and 8%?

Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 4%?

Will the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 4%?

Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 4% and 8%?

Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 8% and 12%?

Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be above 20%?

Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 12% and 16%?

Will the margin of victory for Seth Moulton in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary be between 16% and 20%?

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