Yes36%
Vol$137.48K
Markets16
Event Group
EventKALSHI
Single EventKALSHIElections
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
Part of: Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Before Jan 3, 2027 If X is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes. X state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results. The margin is negative where Harris won. X state qualifies only if the certif
YesLeading Yes Probability
36%
|
VolTotal Volume
$137.48K
|
Markets
16
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
Yes
36%
|
Vol
$137.48K
|
Markets
16
Market Price Graph
16 markets tracked
Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election?
kalshi
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All Markets(16)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Texas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election? | 36% |
Will Kansas be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election? | 23% |
Will South Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election? | 10% |
Will North Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election? | 9% |
Will Alaska be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election? | 9% |
Markets (16)
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