Government shutdown in 2026?

In 2026 If the US government shuts down between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A government shutdown is considered ongoing if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management includes a notice that the federal government is at least partially shut down at any 10:00 AM ET during the period. Notices of a lapse in appropriations resulting in emergency furloughs or impacted government operations are encompassed in the Payout Criterion. Notices of office closures due to holidays