What is the current price for "Top AI model in July?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 99.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Top AI model in July?"?

There are 10 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Top AI model in July?"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

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Top AI model in July?

Yes60%

Vol$0.00

Markets10

60%

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIScience and Technology

Top AI model in July?

Name: Top AI model in July?
Start: 2026-07-10T05:44:15.792Z
End: 2026-08-09T05:44:15.792Z

Part of: Top AI model in July?

On Jul 31, 2026 If X is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank, UB, then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

YesLeading Yes Probability

60%

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

Markets

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Top AI model in July?

Yes

60%

Vol

$0.00

Markets

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Market Price Graph

10 markets tracked

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6-thinking)

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(10)

Market	Price
What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6-thinking)	60%
What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-fable-5)	11%
What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6)	3%
What will be the top AI model this month? (muse-spark)	1%
What will be the top AI model this month? (gpt-5.5-high)	1%

Markets (10)

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KALSHITech

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6-thinking)

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-fable-5)

If claude-fable-5 is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes wil

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-6)

If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes wi

What will be the top AI model this month? (muse-spark)

If muse-spark is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will wi

What will be the top AI model this month? (gpt-5.5-high)

If gpt-5.5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will

What will be the top AI model this month? (gemini-3-pro)

If gemini-3-pro is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will

What will be the top AI model this month? (gemini-3.1-pro-preview)

If gemini-3.1-pro-preview is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most v

What will be the top AI model this month? (ernie-5.1-preview)

If ernie-5.1-preview is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-7-thinking)

If claude-opus-4-7-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most

What will be the top AI model this month? (claude-opus-4-7)

If claude-opus-4-7 is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes wi