
Before 2027 If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or be
21%
$100.68K
1

21%
$100.68K
1
1 market tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026? | 21% |