What is the current price for "How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 94.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?"?

There are 13 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $4K.

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How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

Yes98%

Vol$4.39K

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98%

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Single EventKALSHIElections

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

Name: How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
Start: 2026-10-12T01:18:47.573Z
End: 2026-11-11T01:18:47.573Z

Part of: How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

November 3, 2026 If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least X at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harris in 2024, as calculated by The Downballot in its 2024 presidential results by congressional district table, for the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. That list is fixed as of Issuanc

YesLeading Yes Probability

98%

VolTotal Volume

$4.39K

Markets

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How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

Yes

98%

Vol

$4.39K

Markets

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Market Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 19 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

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All Markets(13)

Market	Price
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 19 at the November 3, 2026 general election?	98%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 16 at the November 3, 2026 general election?	98%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election?	98%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election?	98%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 22 at the November 3, 2026 general election?	97%

Markets (13)

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Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 19 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 19 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harr

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 16 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 16 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harr

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harr

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harr

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 22 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 22 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harr

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 25 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 25 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harr

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 28 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 28 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harr

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 31 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 31 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harr

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 35 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 35 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harr

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 40 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 40 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harr

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 46 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 46 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harr

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 52 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 52 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harr

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 58 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 58 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harr

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

Market Price Graph

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 19 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (13)

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 19 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 16 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 22 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 25 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 28 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 31 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 35 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 40 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 46 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 52 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 be at least 58 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

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