What is the current price for "Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 84.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory"?

There are 10 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory

Name: Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory
Start: 2026-04-17T14:55:24.139Z
End: 2026-05-17T14:55:24.139Z

Market Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 0% and 5%?

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All Markets(10)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 0% and 5%?	32%
Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 0% and 5%?	27%
Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 5% and 10%?	16%
Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 20% and 100%?	9%
Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 10% and 15%?	9%

Markets (10)

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Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 0% and 5%?

If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff falls between 0% and 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.

Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 0% and 5%?

If the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff falls between 0% and 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.

Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 5% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff falls between 5% and 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.

Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 20% and 100%?

If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff falls between 20% and 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin typ

Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 10% and 15%?

If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff falls between 10% and 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type

Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 15% and 20%?

If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff falls between 15% and 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type

Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 5% and 10%?

If the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff falls between 5% and 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type

Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 10% and 15%?

If the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff falls between 10% and 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin typ

Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 20% and 100%?

If the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff falls between 20% and 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin ty

Will the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff be between 15% and 20%?

If the margin of victory for John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff falls between 15% and 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin typ