
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. Th
61%
$1.38M
6
Jun 17, 2026
in 2 months
61%
$1.38M
6
6 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | 61% |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | 57% |
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | 41% |
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? | 21% |
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? | 11% |