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China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?

Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
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Vol

$3.2K

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Markets

9

Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(9)
MarketOutcome price
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
Yes 39.5%
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?
Yes 21.5%
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Yes 20.0%
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?
Yes 14.5%
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be at least 5.5%?
Yes 5.0%

Event Overview

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

Market Resolution RulesSame rules for all markets

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

Saved descriptions match across 9 contracts. Check each contract on the provider for its full terms.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Polymarket uses UMA protocol for dispute resolution when necessary
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (9)

Sort
POLYMARKETEconomy
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome39.5%
Yes
Volume$206.05
Liquidity$992
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETEconomy
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome21.5%
Yes
Volume$218.51
Liquidity$1.1K
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETEconomy
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome20.0%
Yes
Volume$281.13
Liquidity$705
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETEconomy
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome14.5%
Yes
Volume$949.5
Liquidity$832
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETEconomy
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be at least 5.5%?

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be at least 5.5%?

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume$692.21
Liquidity$555
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETEconomy
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume$113.42
Liquidity$474
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETEconomy
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.7%?

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.7%?

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume$133.42
Liquidity$740
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETEconomy
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume$203.42
Liquidity$603
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETEconomy
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 3.4%?

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 3.4%?

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome1.4%
Yes
Volume$395.32
Liquidity$638
End DateFeb 01, 2027
View Details

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