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Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 3.4%?

Yes 1.4%

Vol$395.32

SnapshotOct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 1.4%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveEconomy

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 3.4%?

Part of: China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?

YesYes Price

1.4¢

VolTotal Volume

$395.32

Outcomes

Ends

Feb 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

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Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 3.4%?

Yes

1.4¢

Vol

$395.32

Outcomes

Trade

Yes1.4¢

No98.6¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 1.4%. Snapshot Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 3.4%? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Feb 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

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Resolution Info