
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
PM $3.2K
1
9
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?

PM $3.2K
1
9
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 4.3-4.6% at 39.5%.
Polymarket
- 4.3-4.6%39.5%
- 4.0-4.3%21.5%
- 4.6-4.9%20%
- 4.9-5.2%14.5%
- 5.5%+5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $3.2K
Reported volume · provider units
9
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.