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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
Vol

PM $3.2K

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Events

1

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Markets

9

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 4.3-4.6% at 39.5%.

Polymarket

  1. 4.3-4.6%39.5%
  2. 4.0-4.3%21.5%
  3. 4.6-4.9%20%
  4. 4.9-5.2%14.5%
  5. 5.5%+5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $3.2K

Reported volume · provider units

9

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketEconomy
China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

PM $940.8K
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 96.5%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes 1.9%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?Yes 0.9%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 31, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
US real GDP growth in 2026?

US real GDP growth in 2026?

PM $34.0K · K 423.1K contracts

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Kalshi: GDP growth in 2026? (0.0% or Below)

Related contracts

PM Yes 3%Rules differK Yes 0.4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

PM $76.5K
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Yes 30.8%
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Yes 29.8%
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?Yes 22.4%
+6 moreNext deadline Jan 15, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

PM $58.3K
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Yes 48%
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Yes 43.8%
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 3.0%?Yes 2.8%
+6 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

PM $62.5K
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Yes 34.5%
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Yes 29.5%
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Yes 12.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?

PM $55.7K
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Yes 32.6%
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Yes 30.5%
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 3.5%?Yes 13.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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