Yes48%
Vol$1.17M
Markets6
Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET
Single EventPOLYMARKETClimate
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
Part of: How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?This market will resolve according to the number of natural volcanic eruptions with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 4 or higher between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specifically the cumulative figures for 2026 for VEI 4, VEI 5, and VEI 6 released on the page currently titled "Eruptions Avg 2000-2024 (N/T)" (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?questio
YesLeading Yes Probability
48%
|
VolTotal Volume
$1.17M
|
Markets
6
Ends
Apr 1, 2027
in 6 monthsHow many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
Yes
48%
|
Vol
$1.17M
|
Markets
6
Market Price Graph
6 markets tracked
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
polymarket
No data available
All Markets(6)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | 48% |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | 24% |
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | 10% |
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | 8% |
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | 1% |
Markets (6)
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