
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Lebanese ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Lebanon counts,
47%
$2.89M
8
Feb 28, 2026
in 6 days
47%
$2.89M
8
8 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026? | 47% |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026? | 47% |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026? | 47% |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026? | 46% |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026? | 46% |