
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will not qualify, regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. Markets may resolve to "No" as soon as
93%
$119.50K
4
Feb 28, 2026
1 day ago
93%
$119.50K
4
4 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will the US strike ≥5 countries in February 2026? | 93% |
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026? | 47% |
Will the US strike 2 countries in February 2026? | 2% |
Will the US strike 4 countries in February 2026? | 2% |