Yes43%
Vol$400.44K
Markets11
Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET

Single EventPOLYMARKETWorld
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Part of: Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by
YesLeading Yes Probability
43%
|
VolTotal Volume
$400.44K
|
Markets
11
Ends
Oct 4, 2026
10 days agoBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Yes
43%
|
Vol
$400.44K
|
Markets
11
Market Price Graph
11 markets tracked
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
polymarket
No data available
All Markets(11)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | 43% |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | 37% |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | 12% |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | 6% |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | 3% |
Markets (11)
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