Will Iran close its airspace by February 28?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a major closure of its airspace by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad clearance, cancellation, or suspension of commercial flights transiting Iranian Airspace or a major Iranian Airspace region. A qualifying closure must apply generally to flights across the region. Limited cancellations, delays, or other partial closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a br