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Iran leadership change by...?

Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?
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Vol

$28.09M

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Markets

4

Market snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(4)
MarketOutcome price
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Yes 25.5%
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Yes 14.5%
Iran leadership change by November 30?
Yes 8.5%
Iran leadership change by October 31?
Yes 0.9%

Event Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market Resolution RulesSame rules for all markets

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Saved descriptions match across 4 contracts. Check each contract on the provider for its full terms.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Polymarket uses UMA protocol for dispute resolution when necessary
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (4)

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POLYMARKETPolitics
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

LiquidityHIGH
Yes outcome25.5%
Yes
Volume$451.5K
Liquidity$54.2K
End DateJul 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETPolitics
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Iran leadership change by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

LiquidityHIGH
Yes outcome14.5%
Yes
Volume$5.53M
Liquidity$130.9K
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETPolitics
Iran leadership change by November 30?

Iran leadership change by November 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

LiquidityHIGH
Yes outcome8.5%
Yes
Volume$335.6K
Liquidity$82.8K
End DateDec 01, 2026
View Details
POLYMARKETPolitics
CLOSING SOON
Iran leadership change by October 31?

Iran leadership change by October 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

LiquidityHIGH
Yes outcome0.9%
Yes
Volume$779.8K
Liquidity$80.1K
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details

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