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Iran leadership change by November 30?

Yes 8.5%

Vol$335.6K

SnapshotOct 26, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

Yes 8.5%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Iran leadership change by November 30?

Part of: Iran leadership change by...?

YesYes Price

8.5¢

VolTotal Volume

$335.6K

Outcomes

Ends

Dec 1, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

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Iran leadership change by November 30?

Yes

8.5¢

Vol

$335.6K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes8.5¢

No91.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 8.5%. Snapshot Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Iran leadership change by November 30? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Dec 1, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Resolution Info