
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip. Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrende
23%
$1.56M
3
Jun 30, 2026
in 4 months
23%
$1.56M
3
3 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | 23% |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31? | 7% |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by February 28? | 0% |