
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicit
70%
$10.84M
4
May 31, 2026
in about 1 month
70%
$10.84M
4
4 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 70% |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 56% |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 42% |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | 23% |