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Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

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EventPOLYMARKET

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
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$14.21M

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Markets

1

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Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

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All Markets(1)
MarketOutcome price
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Yes 3.0%

Event Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Market Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Polymarket uses UMA protocol for dispute resolution when necessary
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Polymarket

Markets (1)

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POLYMARKETPolitics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

LiquidityHIGH
Yes outcome3.0%
Yes
Volume$257.5K
Liquidity$79.4K
End DateJan 01, 2027
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