
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of
18%
$12.52M
3
Mar 31, 2026
in 2 months
18%
$12.52M
3
3 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | 18% |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? | 7% |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | 2% |