
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Polish soil or any official Polish embassy or consulate between September 9, 9 PM ET and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Russian military forces that impact Polish ground territory or any official P
10%
$1.88M
2
Dec 31, 2025
15 days ago
10%
$1.88M
2
2 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? | 10% |
Russian strike on Poland by December 31? | 8% |