What is the current price for "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12"?

The leading outcome "Yes" is currently trading at 63.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12"?

There are 5 markets available for this event on Polymarket.

What is the trading volume for "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12"?

Total trading volume is approximately $532K.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Name: SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Start: 2026-01-15T08:39:41.206Z
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z

Market Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

polymarket

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All Markets(5)

Market	Price
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	64%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by December 31?	63%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?	19%
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	17%
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	1%

Markets (5)

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POLYMARKETCulture

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by December 31?

If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?

If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and suppo

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Starship upper stage for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market pertains to the twelfth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be