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How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
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Vol

$1.11M

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Markets

5

Market snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?

polymarket

No data available

All Markets(5)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?
Yes 42.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?
Yes 24.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
Yes 12.8%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
Yes 3.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
Yes 2.2%

Event Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Polymarket uses UMA protocol for dispute resolution when necessary
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (5)

Sort
POLYMARKETEconomy

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

LiquidityLOW
Yes outcome42.0%
Yes
Volume$868.23
Liquidity$467
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETEconomy

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

LiquidityMEDIUM
Yes outcome24.5%
Yes
Volume$85.5K
Liquidity$10.5K
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETEconomy
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

LiquidityMEDIUM
Yes outcome12.8%
Yes
Volume$226.7K
Liquidity$15.1K
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETEconomy
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

LiquidityMEDIUM
Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume$127.0K
Liquidity$17.2K
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details
POLYMARKETEconomy
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

LiquidityMEDIUM
Yes outcome2.2%
Yes
Volume$118.2K
Liquidity$12.5K
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details

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