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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?

Yes 42.0%

Vol$868.23

SnapshotOct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 42.0%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveEconomy

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?

Part of: How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

YesYes Price

42.0¢

VolTotal Volume

$868.23

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?

Yes

42.0¢

Vol

$868.23

Outcomes

Trade

Yes42.0¢

No58.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 42.0%. Snapshot Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

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Resolution Info