
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whethe
53%
$1.02M
6
Dec 31, 2026
in 12 months
53%
$1.02M
6
6 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | 53% |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | 25% |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | 12% |
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | 6% |
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | 3% |