Yes95%
Vol$15.89K
Markets5
Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET
Single EventPOLYMARKETTech
Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
Part of: Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Grok Model (4.6+) model added to the Humanity’s Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a model first appears on the site but is removed before 12:00 PM ET on the following calendar date, its appearance will not qualify as added to the Humanity’s Last
YesLeading Yes Probability
95%
|
VolTotal Volume
$15.89K
|
Markets
5
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
in 4 monthsNext Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
Yes
95%
|
Vol
$15.89K
|
Markets
5
Market Price Graph
5 markets tracked
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher?
polymarket
No data available
All Markets(5)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher? | 95% |
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | 76% |
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | 36% |
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | 9% |
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | 3% |
Markets (5)
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