Yes80%
Vol$25.89K
Markets5
Event Group
EventPOLYMARKET
Single EventPOLYMARKETTech
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
Part of: Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Anthropic Claude Opus model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any Claude model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Opus" may qualify (e.g., claude-opus-5.1, claude-opus-5.5-thinking, claude-opus-6-previ
YesLeading Yes Probability
80%
|
VolTotal Volume
$25.89K
|
Markets
5
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
in 4 monthsNext Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
Yes
80%
|
Vol
$25.89K
|
Markets
5
Market Price Graph
5 markets tracked
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
polymarket
No data available
All Markets(5)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | 80% |
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? | 67% |
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? | 41% |
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? | 26% |
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? | 8% |
Markets (5)
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