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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 1?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 1?
Vol

PM $1.4K

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Events

1

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Markets

11

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 29°C at 44%.

Polymarket

  1. 29°C44%
  2. 28°C32.5%
  3. 27°C17%
  4. 25°C12.5%
  5. 31°C12.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $1.4K

Reported volume · provider units

11

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Nov '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 1?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 1?

PM $20.09
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?Yes 65%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?Yes 50%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 1?Yes 33%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 1?

Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 1?

PM $49.7
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 1?Yes 42%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 1?Yes 28.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1?Yes 23%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 30?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 30?

PM $61.0K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30?Yes 99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 30?Yes 0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on October 30?Yes <0.1%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 30, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 31?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 31?

PM $12.1K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 31?Yes 48.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31?Yes 40.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 31?Yes 6%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Wellington on November 1?

Highest temperature in Wellington on November 1?

PM $3.9K
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on November 1?Yes 59%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 1?Yes 29.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 1?Yes 8.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Taipei on November 1?

Highest temperature in Taipei on November 1?

PM $2.1K
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 1?Yes 40.5%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on November 1?Yes 14%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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