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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 1?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 1?
Vol

PM $26.84

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Events

1

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Markets

11

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 25°C at 58%.

Polymarket

  1. 25°C58%
  2. 24°C50%
  3. 26°C27.5%
  4. 27°C24%
  5. 23°C23%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $26.84

Reported volume · provider units

11

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Nov '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 1?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 1?

PM $1.9K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1?Yes 37%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 1?Yes 30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 1?Yes 19%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Munich on November 1?

Lowest temperature in Munich on November 1?

PM $87.97
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 1°C on November 1?Yes 40.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 0°C on November 1?Yes 35%
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 2°C on November 1?Yes 35%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on November 1?

Lowest temperature in Helsinki on November 1?

PM $38.51
Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C on November 1?Yes 35.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on November 1?Yes 35%
Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on November 1?Yes 35%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Paris on November 1?

Lowest temperature in Paris on November 1?

PM $32
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on November 1?Yes 36%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on November 1?Yes 34.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 1?Yes 30.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Beijing on November 1?

Lowest temperature in Beijing on November 1?

PM $25
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 4°C on November 1?Yes 36%
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 2°C on November 1?Yes 35%
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 3°C on November 1?Yes 35%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Milan on November 1?

Lowest temperature in Milan on November 1?

PM $20
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 5°C on November 1?Yes 35%
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 8°C on November 1?Yes 34%
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 7°C on November 1?Yes 33.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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