Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2035

Total Volume

$407.04

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2035

Vol

$407.04

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $407.04

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $407.04

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.00%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.00%?	Kalshi	97%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.50%?	Kalshi	95%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.00%?	Kalshi	93%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.50%?	Kalshi	90%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 58.00%?	Kalshi	88%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 58.50%?	Kalshi	87%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 59.00%?	Kalshi	77%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 59.50%?	Kalshi	68%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 60.00%?	Kalshi	59%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 60.50%?	Kalshi	50%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 61.00%?	Kalshi	41%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 61.50%?	Kalshi	32%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 62.00%?	Kalshi	23%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 62.50%?	Kalshi	14%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 63.00%?	Kalshi	11%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 63.50%?	Kalshi	7%
Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 64.00%?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$407.04

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

December 2035 If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2035 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2035. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2035 value, Kalshi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US labor force participation rate at year-end 2035
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** December 2035

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2035 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2035. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2035 value, Kalshi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 is above 

64.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2035 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $407
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 64.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 63.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 63.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 62.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 62.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 61.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 61.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 60.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 60.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 59.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 59.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 58.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 58.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $215
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 11, 2036): Vol $102
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2035

Volume$407.04

Markets17

17 of 17

Sort:

KALSHI

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.00%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.00%?

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 is above 56.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2035 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on

KALSHI

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.50%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.50%?

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 is above 56.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2035 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on

KALSHI

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.00%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.0¢No 7.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.00%?

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 is above 57.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2035 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on

KALSHI

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.50%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.50%?

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 is above 57.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2035 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on

KALSHI

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 58.00%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.0¢No 12.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 58.00%?

If the U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 is above 58.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, “year-end” means the December 2035 reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. The market will resolve based on

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55¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/-5IYUb" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US labor force participation rate at year-end 2035"></iframe>

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US labor force participation rate at year-end 2035

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2035

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Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.00%?

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Events (1)

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2035

Markets (17)

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 58.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 58.00%?

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Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.00%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US labor force participation rate at year-end 2035

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 56.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 57.50%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 58.00%?

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2035 be above 58.00%?

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