Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

How many Knesset members will vote for the new Israeli government?

Reported volume

PM $3.7K

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Markets

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How many Knesset members will vote for the new Israeli government?

Vol

PM $3.7K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is No vote by February 28 at 35%.

Polymarket

No vote by February 2835%
57–5922%
51–5313%
48–5010.3%
69–7110%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

11 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will no Knesset vote of confidence in a new government occur by February 28?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will no Knesset vote of confidence in a new government occur by February 28?	Poly	35.0%
Will between 57 and 59 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Poly	22.0%
Will between 51 and 53 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Poly	13.0%
Will between 48 and 50 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Poly	10.3%
Will between 69 and 71 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Poly	10.0%
Will between 66 and 68 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Poly	7.0%
Will 72 or more Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Poly	6.1%
Will between 60 and 62 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Poly	6.0%
Will fewer than 48 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Poly	5.2%
Will between 54 and 56 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Poly	5.0%
Will between 63 and 65 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Poly	2.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $3.7K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government. This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who vote “For” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this election. The vote count refers to the first final vote of confidence in the full Knesset, not committee votes or procedural motions. If no such vote is held by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Only a vote of confidence held by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset is dissolved and a new election is called before such a vote is held, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Votes of confidence held after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered. The resolution sources will be official information from the Knesset and a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: How many Knesset members will vote for the new Israeli government?
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $3.7K
Coverage: 11 of 11 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will no Knesset vote of confidence in a new government occur by February 28?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6652888; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-no-knesset-confidence-vote-occur-by-february-28-for-votes
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.2K
Outcome Yes: 35.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 65.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government.

This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who vote “For” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this election.

The vote count refers to the first final vote of confidence in the full Knesset, not committee votes or procedural motions.

If no such vote is held by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”.

Only a vote of confidence held by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset is dissolved and a new election is called before such a vote is held, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Votes of confidence held after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.

The resolution sources will be official information from the Knesset and a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Will fewer than 48 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6652889; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-fewer-than-48-knesset-members-vote-for-new-israeli-government
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $138.3
Outcome Yes: 5.2%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government.

This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who vote “For” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this election.

The vote count refers to the first final vote of confidence in the full Knesset, not committee votes or procedural motions.

If no such vote is held by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”.

Only a vote of confidence held by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset is dissolved and a new election is called before such a vote is held, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Votes of confidence held after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.

The resolution sources will be official information from the Knesset and a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Will between 48 and 50 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6652890; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-48-50-knesset-members-vote-for-new-israeli-government
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $172.85
Outcome Yes: 10.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government.

This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who vote “For” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this election.

The vote count refers to the first final vote of confidence in the full Knesset, not committee votes or procedural motions.

If no such vote is held by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”.

Only a vote of confidence held by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset is dissolved and a new election is called before such a vote is held, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Votes of confidence held after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.

The resolution sources will be official information from the Knesset and a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Will between 51 and 53 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6652891; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-51-53-knesset-members-vote-for-new-israeli-government
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $133.05
Outcome Yes: 13.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government.

This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who vote “For” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this election.

The vote count refers to the first final vote of confidence in the full Knesset, not committee votes or procedural motions.

If no such vote is held by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”.

Only a vote of confidence held by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset is dissolved and a new election is called before such a vote is held, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Votes of confidence held after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.

The resolution sources will be official information from the Knesset and a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Will between 54 and 56 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6652892; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-54-56-knesset-members-vote-for-new-israeli-government
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $73.06
Outcome Yes: 5.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government.

This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who vote “For” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this election.

The vote count refers to the first final vote of confidence in the full Knesset, not committee votes or procedural motions.

If no such vote is held by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”.

Only a vote of confidence held by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset is dissolved and a new election is called before such a vote is held, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Votes of confidence held after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.

The resolution sources will be official information from the Knesset and a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Will between 57 and 59 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6652893; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-57-59-knesset-members-vote-for-new-israeli-government
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $243.53
Outcome Yes: 22.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government.

This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who vote “For” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this election.

The vote count refers to the first final vote of confidence in the full Knesset, not committee votes or procedural motions.

If no such vote is held by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”.

Only a vote of confidence held by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset is dissolved and a new election is called before such a vote is held, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Votes of confidence held after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.

The resolution sources will be official information from the Knesset and a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Will between 60 and 62 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6652894; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-60-62-knesset-members-vote-for-new-israeli-government
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $147.35
Outcome Yes: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government.

This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who vote “For” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this election.

The vote count refers to the first final vote of confidence in the full Knesset, not committee votes or procedural motions.

If no such vote is held by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”.

Only a vote of confidence held by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset is dissolved and a new election is called before such a vote is held, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Votes of confidence held after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.

The resolution sources will be official information from the Knesset and a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Will between 63 and 65 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6652895; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-63-65-knesset-members-vote-for-new-israeli-government
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $156.11
Outcome Yes: 2.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government.

This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who vote “For” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this election.

The vote count refers to the first final vote of confidence in the full Knesset, not committee votes or procedural motions.

If no such vote is held by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”.

Only a vote of confidence held by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset is dissolved and a new election is called before such a vote is held, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Votes of confidence held after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.

The resolution sources will be official information from the Knesset and a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Will between 66 and 68 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6652896; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-66-68-knesset-members-vote-for-new-israeli-government
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $150.76
Outcome Yes: 7.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government.

This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who vote “For” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this election.

The vote count refers to the first final vote of confidence in the full Knesset, not committee votes or procedural motions.

If no such vote is held by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”.

Only a vote of confidence held by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset is dissolved and a new election is called before such a vote is held, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Votes of confidence held after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.

The resolution sources will be official information from the Knesset and a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Will between 69 and 71 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6652897; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-69-71-knesset-members-vote-for-new-israeli-government
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $115.05
Outcome Yes: 10.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government.

This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who vote “For” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this election.

The vote count refers to the first final vote of confidence in the full Knesset, not committee votes or procedural motions.

If no such vote is held by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”.

Only a vote of confidence held by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset is dissolved and a new election is called before such a vote is held, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Votes of confidence held after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.

The resolution sources will be official information from the Knesset and a consensus of credible reporting.

Contract: Will 72 or more Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6652899; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-72-or-more-knesset-members-vote-for-new-israeli-government
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $140.05
Outcome Yes: 6.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government.

This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who vote “For” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this election.

The vote count refers to the first final vote of confidence in the full Knesset, not committee votes or procedural motions.

If no such vote is held by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”.

Only a vote of confidence held by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset is dissolved and a new election is called before such a vote is held, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Votes of confidence held after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered.

The resolution sources will be official information from the Knesset and a consensus of credible reporting.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics

How many Knesset members will vote for the new Israeli government?

Volume$3.69K

Markets11

11 of 11

Sort:

Will no Knesset vote of confidence in a new government occur by February 28?

polymarket

Will no Knesset vote of confidence in a new government occur by February 28?

Yes: 35.0¢
No: 65.0¢

Will between 57 and 59 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?

polymarket

Will between 57 and 59 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?

Yes: 22.0¢
No: 78.0¢

Will between 51 and 53 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?

polymarket

Will between 51 and 53 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?

Yes: 13.0¢
No: 87.0¢

Will between 48 and 50 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?

polymarket

Will between 48 and 50 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?

Yes: 10.3¢
No: 89.6¢

Will between 69 and 71 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?

polymarket

Will between 69 and 71 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?

Yes: 10.0¢
No: 90.0¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics

How many Knesset members will abstain or not vote on the new Israeli government?

PM $1.3K

Will 10 or more Knesset members abstain or not vote on the new Israeli government?Yes 38%

Will no Knesset vote of confidence in a new government occur by February 28?Yes 31%

Will exactly 2 Knesset members abstain or not vote on the new Israeli government?Yes 28%

+6 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?

PM $780.7K · K 11.42M contracts

Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Kalshi: Will Yair Lapid be Minister of Foreign Affairs as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

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PM Yes 36.5%Rules differK Yes 37%

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?

Kalshi: Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Avigdor Lieberman is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?

Related contracts

PM Yes 28.5%Rules differK Yes 21%

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?

Kalshi: Will Avigdor Lieberman be Minister of Finance as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 21.5%Rules differK Yes 18.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

73 saved comparisonsNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

How many Israeli elections until a government forms?

PM $307.2K · K 5.3K contracts

Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?

Kalshi: Will the number of Israeli Knesset elections held be exactly 1 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first?

Related contracts

PM Yes 64.5%Rules differK Yes 68%

Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

Kalshi: Will the number of Israeli Knesset elections held be exactly 2 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first?

Related contracts

PM Yes 25.5%Rules differK Yes 22%

Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

Kalshi: Will the number of Israeli Knesset elections held be exactly 3 from the next Knesset election until a new government is formed or October 27, 2030 at 11:59:59 PM ET, whichever occurs first?

Related contracts

PM Yes 7.2%Rules differK Yes 7.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2028 UTC

PolymarketKalshiPolitics

When will the Knesset approve a new government?

PM $10.4K · K 5.0K contracts

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 35%Rules differK Yes 50.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Dec 30, 2026 UTC

PolymarketKalshiWorld

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

PM $389.8K · K 74.9K contracts

Will Together be in the next Israeli government?

Kalshi: Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 73%Rules differK Yes 84%

Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?

Kalshi: Will Yashar be a part of the next government in Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 78%Rules differK Yes 81%

Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?

Kalshi: Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?

Related contracts

PM Yes 71.5%Rules differK Yes 75.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

13 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jun 30, 2027 UTC

KalshiPolitics

Will Netanyahu and Eisenkot form a unity government?

K 286.17 contracts

Will the Knesset approve a new government with both Likud and Yashar before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 26.5%

Will the Knesset approve a new government with both Likud and Yashar before Feb 1, 2027?Yes 18%

2 mktsNext deadline Feb 8, 2027 UTC

No related news found

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Mar 01, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

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How many Knesset members will vote for the new Israeli government?

How many Knesset members will vote for the new Israeli government?

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