Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a spot price chart, another exchange, or a differently worded market on another platform should expect different measurement rules. The rules also list an end time of 2026-11-01T12:10:00.000Z [1]. That is the listed close time for this contract. It is not evidence of how the contract was settled.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z and retrieved at 2026-10-31T22:39:36.297Z [1]. The status recorded at that observation was "active" [1]. Because the observation is a past snapshot, it does not show the contract's status or price today. Later prices may differ.
At the observation time, the quoted prices were 0.505 for "Up" and 0.495 for "Down" [1]. These figures are snapshots from one provider, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They do not show the depth available to trade, and they do not explain why the price stood where it did. The two prices sum to 1.000 in this record, but the snapshot does not show what a trader could actually buy or sell at those levels.
The sample covers one market from one event. The coverage record shows 1 total market, 1 included market, and no partial sample [1]. No volume figure is included in the supplied evidence, so this snapshot cannot be used to judge liquidity or how many traders took part.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the actual outcome, because the contract's close time is listed as November 1, 2026 and the evidence does not record any settlement. It also does not show any event-specific news or cause for the quoted prices. Since the contract depends on a specific Chainlink data stream, any comparison with other prices or contracts should account for wording, timing, and resolution source differences rather than treating a price gap as an opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration crypto contract from Polymarket that asks whether the HYPE/USD price will finish a five-minute window higher or lower than it started. The title refers to the window from 7:05 AM to 7:10 AM ET on November 1. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over that range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is specific. The contract points to Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, not to other exchanges or spot markets. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream and not according to any other source [1]. Anyone reading the price should keep that distinction in mind, because the same asset can trade at different levels on different venues. The listed end time for the contract is 2026-11-01T12:10:00Z [1]. That is the time the contract is set to close. The date in the contract rules is the scheduled end of the market, not a separate announced event. At the time of retrieval, the provider listed the market as active [1], so the outcome had not been recorded when the source was captured. The price snapshot shows "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 at the observation time [1]. These figures describe the market at that moment only. They are not executable quotes and should not be read as verified probabilities of the outcome. The sample includes the one saved market for this provider event.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of HYPE/USD over a short, fixed window rather than a price target at a single moment. Because the test compares the TWAP over the window against the price at the start of the window, a small move in either direction can decide the result [1]. The use of a time-weighted average means that the resolution depends on the average over the period and not only on the final price [1]. The contract also shows why the data source matters. Results are tied to one specified Chainlink stream, so a reader cannot judge the outcome by checking a different exchange feed [1]. Understanding the exact rule is necessary for interpreting both the listed prices and the eventual result.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP over the 7:05 AM to 7:10 AM ET range is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The rules say the market is not based on other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T12:10:00Z [1].
Do the listed prices show the chance that the asset rises?
The prices are market snapshots at the observation time, with Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
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