Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This market covers a single five-minute window, Solana Up or Down for November 1, 7:05 AM to 7:10 AM ET [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over that window is "greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range." Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].

The resolution source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the provider states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A contract on another exchange, a spot price, or a different averaging method could resolve differently, so comparisons should begin with these rules.

The listed end time is 2026-11-01T12:10:00.000Z [1]. The title expresses the window in Eastern Time, so readers should check that the UTC end time corresponds to the title's stated window before relying on it.

Reading the snapshot

The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-31T21:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-31T22:54:22Z [1]. These are different moments. The observation is when the provider prices were recorded, and the retrieval is when this record was pulled. Neither is a live reading, and the market's status shown in the record was "active" only at the time of the snapshot [1].

At that observation, the quoted prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. Because both prices appear in the same binary market, they sum to 1.000, and the gap between them is small. The evidence does not show why the prices stood where they did, and it does not include volume or any measure of how many traders participated.

The sample covers one market from one provider event, and the record says all saved markets for that event are included [1]. Nothing here compares this contract with other platforms or other time windows, so no cross-market ranking or average is appropriate.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show the current price, the price at the start of the window, or the TWAP result. It does not indicate whether the market is still active, and it provides no information about the outcome. The sample does not establish that any other outcomes exist for this event.

References

1. Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z.