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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Next GPT Terra (6.2+) released by...?

Next GPT Terra (6.2+) released by...?
Vol

PM $1.2K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31 at 58%.

Polymarket

  1. December 3158%
  2. February 2853%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $1.2K

Reported volume ยท provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (6.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 6.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.2 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra or GPT-6.1 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 6.2, such as GPT-6.1 Terra (released October 26, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6.1 Sol, or GPT-6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6.1 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

PM $12.4K
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by November 30, 2026?Yes 17.5%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 3, 2026?Yes 15%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 24, 2026?Yes 8.7%
+29 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released on...?

Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released on...?

PM $9.4K
Will there be no next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) release by November 30, 2026?Yes 65%
Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 24, 2026?Yes 10%
Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 28, 2026?Yes 10%
+29 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...?

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...?

PM $8.7K
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026?Yes 34.5%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 20, 2026?Yes 14%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 26, 2026?Yes 14%
+29 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on...?

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on...?

PM $7.3K
Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?Yes 42%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 26, 2026?Yes 16.5%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 27, 2026?Yes 13%
+29 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?

When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?

PM $44.2K
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?Yes 16%
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?Yes 14%
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 11 and January 17, 2027?Yes 13.9%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

PM $1.23M
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 93.3%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 81.5%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?Yes 70%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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