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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?

When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?
Vol

PM $5.4K

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Events

1

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Markets

16

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 22, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is November 9–November 15 at 18.5%.

Polymarket

  1. November 9–November 1518.5%
  2. November 30–December 618.5%
  3. No release by January 3113.5%
  4. December 21–December 2711.5%
  5. October 26–November 19.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $5.4K

Reported volume · provider units

16

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?

Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?

PM $1.9K
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 19, 2026?Yes 48%
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 8, 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 14, 2026?Yes 41.5%
+37 moreNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
When will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released?

When will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released?

PM $0
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between December 21 and December 27, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?Yes 28%
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?Yes 25.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

PM $53.6K · K 31.1K contracts

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 91.5%Rules differK Yes 22%

Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Dec 31, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 84%Rules differK Yes 89.5%

Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?

Kalshi: Will Anthropic release Claude 6+ (any family) before Jun 30, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 72%Rules differK Yes 66%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

PM $360.2K
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes 84%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?Yes 81.5%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes 73%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Top Song on Spotify in 2026?

Top Song on Spotify in 2026?

K 294.6K contracts
Will End of Beginning be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 85.5%
Will Babydoll be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 11.5%
Will Beauty and a Beat be the #1 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 1.5%
+25 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?

K 204.3K contracts
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 30 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 19%
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 15%
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 11.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Apr 5, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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