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Events
GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?
Vol

PM $26.9K · K 431.2K contracts

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Events

2

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Markets

3

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $26.9K · K 431.2K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

About This Event

In 2026 If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before X 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation. If the person leaves the role due to death, i.e., if the person dies while holding the role, all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.