Men's College Basketball Tournament: Top 5 Seeds
K 91.71 contracts
1
111
Men's College Basketball Tournament: Top 5 Seeds
K 91.71 contracts
1
111
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 91.71 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
111
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Top 5 Seeds (2027) If X men's college basketball team is selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this market, a top 5 seed is considered any team that is selected as a #1, #2, #3, #4, or #5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This saved analysis is awaiting a background update. Its prices and claims may be outdated; compare them with the dated market data above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-13T12:27:38.577Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event asks whether a men's college basketball team will be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament. Under the stated rules, a team counts if it is selected as a #1, #2, #3, #4, or #5 seed, and the market resolves to Yes in that case [1]. The contract wording defines the outcome, so similarly named markets on other platforms may measure something different.
The saved market records show a close time of 2027-05-02T14:00:00.000Z, but the source excerpt says the listed end time was not supplied [1]. Treat that timestamp as the close time recorded in this snapshot. It is not evidence of when the seeding outcome will be determined.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-13T12:27:38.577Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-13T13:37:41.887Z [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not include volume or trader counts, so these prices should not be read as measures of liquidity or of how many people agree.
Within the 12 included markets, Florida has the highest Yes price at 0.885, followed closely by Duke at 0.88 [1]. Kansas has the lowest Yes price in the included set at 0.535 [1]. Texas and Houston are both at 0.725 Yes [1]. The sample was selected by Yes price, but the evidence does not show the prices of the omitted markets, so no conclusion about them should be drawn.
What remains uncertain
The sample covers 12 of 111 markets in this single Kalshi event [1]. It does not represent the full field, and the rankings apply only within this event. No other platform is included, so the prices cannot be compared across providers. Differences in wording, such as the specific seed definition, should be checked before comparing any two contracts. The evidence does not explain why prices sit where they do, and a price difference between contracts is not by itself an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Kalshi: Men's College Basketball Tournament: Top 5 Seeds. Provider data observed 2026-10-13T12:27:38.577Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 13, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
The Men's College Basketball Tournament: Top 5 Seeds market is a Kalshi event about whether a specific men's college basketball team will be selected as a #1, #2, #3, #4, or #5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament [1]. Each contract in the event names one team. Under the contract rules, a team's market resolves to Yes if that team receives one of those five seed positions, and any seed from #1 through #5 counts as a top 5 seed [1]. The rules also state that Kalshi is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the NCAA [1]. Each individual contract in the saved record has a Yes outcome and a No outcome, and its status is listed as active [1]. The contracts share a closing date of May 2, 2027 in the saved data [1]. That date is a closing time recorded in the market data. It is not an announced date for the seeding decision or the tournament itself, and the material does not describe how or when the 2027 seeds will be set. The saved event contains 111 markets, but only 12 are included in the record. The included markets were chosen by a ranking rule that orders markets by their Yes price from highest to lowest, with volume as a secondary sort, and the record describes only those selected markets [1]. The omitted markets are not described here, and the ranking should not be read as a ranking of the full field. Prices in the record are point-in-time snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and trading volume should not be treated as a measure of liquidity or the number of participants.
Historical Context
The supplied Wikipedia material covers two 2026 conference tournaments, not the 2027 seeding market. The 2026 Ivy League men's basketball tournament, called Ivy Madness, was held March 14 to 15, 2026 at Newman Arena on the Cornell University campus, and Penn won the league's automatic bid to the 2026 NCAA Tournament [2]. The 2026 SEC men's basketball tournament was held March 11 to 15, 2026 at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee, and Arkansas won the conference's automatic bid to the 2026 NCAA tournament [3]. These articles explain how conference champions earned automatic entry in the 2026 event. They do not discuss seeding, the top five seed category, or the 2027 field [2][3].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a seeding outcome: whether a named team is placed among the top five seeds in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament [1]. It does not measure whether a team wins a game, wins a conference, or reaches a particular round. Its Yes outcome depends on the seed a team receives under the event's definition, which counts any #1 through #5 seed [1]. Because the contracts close on May 2, 2027 in the saved data, the market's listed timing is tied to that closing date rather than to a tournament schedule that the supplied material describes [1]. The 2026 conference tournament articles show how automatic bids worked in the prior season, but they do not establish how the 2027 seeds will be determined [2][3].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-13 at 12:27 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for a team's contract to resolve Yes?
The contract rules say a team's market resolves to Yes if that team is selected as a #1, #2, #3, #4, or #5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament [1].
Is this market connected to the NCAA?
The contract rules state that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA [1].
Why does the saved record only show part of the event?
The event contains 111 markets, and the saved record includes 12 of them. The included markets were selected using a rule that sorts by Yes price and then volume, so the record is a partial sample rather than the full field [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Men's College Basketball Tournament: Top 4 Seeds
K 80.62 contractsMen's College Basketball Tournament: Top 2 Seeds
K 0 contractsMen's College Basketball Tournament: Top 3 Seeds
K 0 contracts
Men's College Basketball Tournament: #1 Seeds
K 4.7K contracts
College Basketball (M): Top 25 Ranked Teams on Final AP Poll
K 0 contracts
ACC Regular Season: Top 4 Finishers
K 493.7 contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
