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TX-37 House Election Winner

TX-37 House Election Winner
Vol

PM $45.6K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Greg Casar (D) at 97.5%.

Polymarket

  1. Greg Casar (D)97.5%
  2. Lauren Peña (R)1.7%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $45.6K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
California 37 House General Election: voter turnout

California 37 House General Election: voter turnout

K 1.6K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 37 House General Election be above 77000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 37 House General Election be above 105000?Yes 80%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 37 House General Election be above 110000?Yes 76%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TX-15 House election: Monica De La Cruz vote percent

TX-15 House election: Monica De La Cruz vote percent

K 6.9K contracts
Will Monica De La Cruz receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election?Yes 97%
Will Monica De La Cruz receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Monica De La Cruz receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 TX-15 House election?Yes 87.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $45.6K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 9%-12%?Yes 16.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 15.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 21% or more?Yes 14.8%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $31.6K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 30%-35%?Yes 31.9%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 25%-30%?Yes 22%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-16 House election by 35%-40%?Yes 21.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-30 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-30 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $31.2K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 55%-60%?Yes 27.3%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 60%-65%?Yes 21%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 65%-70%?Yes 11.4%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory

PM $28.1K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?Yes 20%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 0%-3%?Yes 17.5%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%?Yes 17%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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